IFK Varnamo 1-2 Norrköping — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
11%
4.37
X/2
10%
7.73
X/X
14%
4.23
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
6.02
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrköping EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.39/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.54
-33% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
17.9 Crosses 18.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Norrköping
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.72 xG 1.11
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
439 Passes 258
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Norrköping Norrköping 0-4 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
08.10.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
16.04.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 2-1 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
24.10.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
02.05.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
17.02.2019 Norrköping Norrköping 3-1 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
1-2
AWAY Norrköping
0.65 xG 0.49
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
426 Passes 220
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 8
38 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Norrköping
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping nicked a narrow win over IFK Varnamo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Varnamo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 63% of the ball to Norrköping's 37%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.65 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norrköping led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.50 for Norrköping.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Norrköping?

IFK Varnamo 1-2 Norrköping in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Norrköping?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 44%, draw 28%, Norrköping 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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