Catanzaro 3-0 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.26
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.2
X/1
16%
4.42
X/2
9%
7.96
X/X
15%
3.46
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
13%
6.65
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +11%
1.38/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.07
+18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.2 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Südtirol
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 0.90
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
432 Passes 264
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-2 HT 1-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
07.10.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
3-0
AWAY Südtirol
1.42 xG 0.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 8
444 Passes 344
89% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 22
6 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro cruised past Südtirol 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Catanzaro made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Catanzaro had 55% of the ball to Südtirol's 45%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.42 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Catanzaro had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Catanzaro and 1.00 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Südtirol?

Catanzaro 3-0 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 40%, draw 31%, Südtirol 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanzaro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
27 Oct 2024
17:00 Sampdoria vs Mantova Analysis →
17:00 Frosinone vs Pisa Analysis →