Lierse Kempenzonen 1-2 La Louvière — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.91
Over 2.5
59%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.49
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+7.7pp
20%
Draw
27%
-6.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+7.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.6pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY La Louvière EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.47/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.62
+45% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
19.2 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
1-2
AWAY La Louvière
1.43 xG 2.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
265 Passes 153
73% Pass Accuracy 62%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs La Louvière
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière edged past Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 20% / 38% — and on the day La Louvière made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 58% of the ball to La Louvière's 42%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.43 to 2.29.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs La Louvière?

Lierse Kempenzonen 1-2 La Louvière in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs La Louvière?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lierse Kempenzonen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 42%, draw 20%, La Louvière 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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