El Nacional vs Orense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Orense — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Orense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
El Nacional
EKV1
3-1
HT 3-0
Orense
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
2-2
HT 1-2
Orense
EKV1
El Nacional 0-1 Orense — Actual Match Statistics
Orense squeezed past El Nacional 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was El Nacional at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, El Nacional had 64% of the ball to Orense's 36%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.18 to 1.76 — on chances, El Nacional could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, El Nacional had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for El Nacional and 1.00 for Orense.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Orense?
El Nacional 0-1 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Orense?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 50%, draw 25%, Orense 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (El Nacional) went the other way.