Shatin SA 2-1 Central & Western — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.68
Over 2.5
63%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
26%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.3pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.8pp
62%
Away Win
70%
-8.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+1.3pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Central & Western EU Bookmakers 75%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.56/2.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.16/1.32
+38% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -14%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Central & Western
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Central & Western Central & Western 4-4 HT 3-2 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
19.11.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 1-2 HT 0-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
16.04.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 0-3 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
09.10.2022 Central & Western Central & Western 2-1 HT 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
26.09.2021 Central & Western Central & Western 1-2 HT 0-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shatin SA
2-1
AWAY Central & Western
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Central & Western
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA edged past Central & Western 2-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Central & Western at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Shatin SA had 41% of the ball to Central & Western's 59%, shots finished 11-18.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Central & Western led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Shatin SA and 2.40 for Central & Western.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Central & Western?

Shatin SA 2-1 Central & Western in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Central & Western?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 18%, draw 20%, Central & Western 62%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Central & Western) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK2 More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
27 Oct 2024
00:00 South China vs Resources Capital FC Analysis →
08:30 3 Sing vs Wing Yee Analysis →
10:30 Yuen Long vs WSE Analysis →
10:30 Hoi King vs Tuen Mun SA Analysis →