Vissel Kobe 2-1 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.86
Over 2.5
38%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 33% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.37
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
20%
4.06
X/2
13%
8.48
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
9%
6.58
2/X
10%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.7pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 26%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
2.89/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+64% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +54%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.02
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
325 Passes 225
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-3 HT 0-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
27.04.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
03.09.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 1-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
01.04.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-3 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
03.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 2-0 HT 2-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
02.04.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-3 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-1
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe squeezed past Kyoto Sanga 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 61% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 39%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.50 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Kyoto Sanga?

Vissel Kobe 2-1 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 44%, draw 29%, Kyoto Sanga 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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