Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - İmparatorluk Cup, 27 Oct 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos
2-3 HT 1-1
Gamba Osaka
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒07:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Japan - İmparatorluk Cup – 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.51
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1
20%
5.79
X/2
8%
5.87
X/X
10%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
12%
3.58
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
38%
+10.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
36%
-9.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Gamba Osaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.66/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.81
-1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +87%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.55 xG 1.30
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
443 Passes 272
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.07.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 4-0 HT 2-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
10.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
12.08.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 1-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
20.05.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
08.10.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
18.06.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-2 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP

Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Gamba Osaka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2-3
AWAY Gamba Osaka
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 10
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka nicked a narrow win over Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Yokohama F. Marinos at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 53% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 47%, shots finished 17-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.33 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka?

Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - İmparatorluk Cup on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 48%, draw 25%, Gamba Osaka 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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