Gamba Osaka 4-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Jul 2024

Gamba Osaka
4-0 HT 2-0
Yokohama F. Marinos
📅06/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.11
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
10%
5.36
X/2
11%
6.4
X/X
8%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.6
2/2
20%
4.0
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gamba Osaka v Yokohama F. Marinos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.57/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.69
+4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
16.2 Crosses 18.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gamba Osaka
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 1.68
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
245 Passes 468
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
12.08.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 1-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
20.05.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
08.10.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 HT 0-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
18.06.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-2 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
03.11.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP

Gamba Osaka 4-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamba Osaka
4-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
2.59 xG 0.97
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
289 Passes 445
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka cruised past Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gamba Osaka found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Gamba Osaka had 41% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 59%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.59 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gamba Osaka and 1.33 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Gamba Osaka 4-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gamba Osaka 40%, draw 22%, Yokohama F. Marinos 38%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gamba Osaka), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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