Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒12:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.26
6+ Goals
10%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.55
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
17%
6.11
X/2
14%
4.97
X/X
10%
4.0
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.4
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.18/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.19
+0% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.4 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.89 xG 1.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 538
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-1 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
26.06.2016 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
23.11.2015 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-0 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
08.03.2015 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.18 xG 1.65
27% Ball Possession 73%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
128 Passes 491
60% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy and Cerezo Osaka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 27% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 73%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 1.18 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.50 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka?

Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 39%, draw 27%, Cerezo Osaka 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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