Jubilo Iwata 2-2 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.54
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
8%
6.77
X/2
11%
4.93
X/X
15%
5.08
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
17%
2.91
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -15%
1.11/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.19
+13% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
19.1 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.09 xG 1.47
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
309 Passes 602
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 4-5 HT 1-3 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
25.06.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
06.04.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
14.09.2019 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 HT 2-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
30.06.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-3 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
01.12.2018 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2-2
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.37 xG 1.37
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
219 Passes 593
76% Pass Accuracy 91%
17 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata and Kawasaki Frontale shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 31% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 69%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.37 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 2.17 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Jubilo Iwata 2-2 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 35%, draw 30%, Kawasaki Frontale 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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