Urawa Red Diamonds 2-3 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Jul 2024

Urawa Red Diamonds
2-3 HT 0-1
Shonan Bellmare
📅06/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
15%
4.01
X/2
9%
9.52
X/X
9%
5.21
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
9%
7.27
2/X
8%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Urawa Red Diamonds v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
2.00/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.57
+9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.0 Crosses 17.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shonan Bellmare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.89 xG 1.34
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
389 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 4-4 HT 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
25.08.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
28.06.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 4-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
19.04.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 1-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK
08.03.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
17.09.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-3 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2-3
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
2.12 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
394 Passes 331
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare squeezed past Urawa Red Diamonds 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Urawa Red Diamonds at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 54% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 46%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.12 to 1.45 — on chances, Urawa Red Diamonds could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 1.00 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shonan Bellmare?

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-3 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 53%, draw 24%, Shonan Bellmare 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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