Kashima Antlers 2-0 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.89
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
28%
3.64
X/2
8%
11.9
X/X
10%
5.69
2/1
10%
23.15
2/2
9%
9.65
2/X
5%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.69/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.97
-16% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.4 Crosses 14.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.73 xG 1.06
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
251 Passes 432
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-3 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
06.08.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-0 HT 2-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
03.05.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
10.07.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
14.05.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 4-1 HT 3-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
27.06.2021 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 4-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
2-0
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
3.20 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 Passes 382
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
35 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers beat Consadole Sapporo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 50% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 50%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 3.20 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.17 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Consadole Sapporo?

Kashima Antlers 2-0 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 56%, draw 21%, Consadole Sapporo 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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