Valmiera II 2-3 Skanste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

Valmiera II
2-3
Skanste
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Valmiera II vs Skanste Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.7pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valmiera II v Skanste — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Skanste EU Bookmakers 40%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.46/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/0.92
+0% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +66%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
305 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Valmiera II vs Skanste Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valmiera II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Skanste
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
05.07.2024 Skanste Skanste 1-0 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
21.10.2023 Skanste Skanste 1-2 HT 0-1 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
30.06.2023 Valmiera II Valmiera II 2-3 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Valmiera II vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skanste squeezed past Valmiera II 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Valmiera II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Skanste led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valmiera II and 1.67 for Skanste.

What was the final score of Valmiera II vs Skanste?

Valmiera II 2-3 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera II vs Skanste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valmiera II 42%, draw 28%, Skanste 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valmiera II) ✗ Under 2.5
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