Györi ETO 1-1 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 62%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.97
+67% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
225 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
Crosses 18.2
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Györi ETO
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2022 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-4 HT 0-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MACK
07.03.2015 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 0-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
17.08.2014 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
02.03.2014 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-1 HT 0-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
10.08.2013 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-2 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
12.05.2013 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Györi ETO
1-1
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.26 xG 2.92
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 7
218 Passes 478
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Györi ETO vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Györi ETO and Ferencvaros shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ferencvaros at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Györi ETO had 35% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 65%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.26 to 2.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Györi ETO and 1.83 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Györi ETO vs Ferencvaros?

Györi ETO 1-1 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Györi ETO vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Györi ETO 27%, draw 24%, Ferencvaros 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ferencvaros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Under 2.5
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