Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 25% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.44/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.18
-35% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
22.8 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1-1
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
0.73 xG 0.68
69% Ball Possession 31%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
455 Passes 167
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 6
32 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus and Zalaegerszegi TE couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus had 69% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 31%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.73 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nyiregyhaza Spartacus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 40%, draw 28%, Zalaegerszegi TE 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nyiregyhaza Spartacus), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nyiregyhaza Spartacus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
27 Oct 2024
17:15 Paksi SE vs Kecskemeti TE Analysis →
19:45 Györi ETO vs Ferencvaros Analysis →