Paksi SE 1-0 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -18%
2.15/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.05
+8% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
207 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 65%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
29.5 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
147 Passes 361
57% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-0 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
07.10.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
28.04.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-3 HT 2-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.02.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
03.09.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
1-0
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
2.30 xG 0.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
311 Passes 316
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
36 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE edged past Kecskemeti TE 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Paksi SE had 50% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 50%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.30 to 0.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Paksi SE's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Paksi SE and 1.00 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Kecskemeti TE?

Paksi SE 1-0 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 52%, draw 25%, Kecskemeti TE 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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