Jalapa 3-0 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.1pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.0pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 28%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
0.75/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.39
-56% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-2 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
21.04.2024 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-1 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
10.11.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
04.09.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-3 HT 1-2 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
17.04.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
13.11.2022 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 2-3 HT 0-2 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa cruised past Deportivo Ocotal 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jalapa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Jalapa and 1.33 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Jalapa 3-0 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 48%, draw 32%, Deportivo Ocotal 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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