Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-3 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.8pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.23/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.84
-5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
277 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Chayka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
15.11.2020 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-1 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
08.08.2020 Chayka Chayka 0-3 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
07.08.2018 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-3 HT 0-2 Chayka Chayka RUK
POST-MATCH Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chayka squeezed past Alaniya Vladikavkaz 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Chayka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 1.33 for Chayka.

What was the final score of Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chayka?

Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-3 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alaniya Vladikavkaz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alaniya Vladikavkaz 39%, draw 30%, Chayka 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alaniya Vladikavkaz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
27 Oct 2024
13:00 FK Ufa vs Rotor Volgograd Analysis →
17:00 KAMAZ vs FC Sochi Analysis →
18:00 Neftekhimik vs Sokol Saratov Analysis →
19:00 FK Rodina Moskva vs Torpedo Moscow Analysis →