KAMAZ 1-0 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.94/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.26
-10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ nicked a narrow win over FC Sochi 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; KAMAZ found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs FC Sochi?

KAMAZ 1-0 FC Sochi in the Russia - FNL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 36%, draw 26%, FC Sochi 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Sochi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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