27/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
KAMAZ vs FC Sochi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
26%
Draw
27%
38%
Away Win
46%
60%
Under 2.5
59%
40%
Over 2.5
41%
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
57%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KAMAZ v FC Sochi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
KAMAZ
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
FC Sochi
EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% /
+10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
0.94/1.14
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.75/1.26
-10%
/
+14%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+39%
/
-22%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
288 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
399 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.1
Yellow Cards
1.2
POST-MATCH
KAMAZ vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
KAMAZ nicked a narrow win over FC Sochi 1-0.
Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; KAMAZ found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of KAMAZ vs FC Sochi?
KAMAZ 1-0 FC Sochi in the Russia - FNL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs FC Sochi?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 36%, draw 26%, FC Sochi 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Sochi) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (FC Sochi)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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27 Oct 2024