FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 42%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
0.51/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.87
-54% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
04.09.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1-1
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Rodina Moskva vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva and Torpedo Moscow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 55% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 45%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Rodina Moskva and 0.50 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Torpedo Moscow?

FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 31%, draw 29%, Torpedo Moscow 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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