Radomlje 4-2 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 28% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomlje EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.00/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.70
-4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomlje
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Celje
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 Celje Celje 4-2 HT 2-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
18.05.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
17.03.2024 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
05.12.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 0-4 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
23.09.2023 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
01.04.2023 Celje Celje 1-1 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomlje
4-2
AWAY Celje
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radomlje vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomlje saw off Celje 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Celje at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Radomlje had 43% of the ball to Celje's 57%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Radomlje and 2.17 for Celje.

What was the final score of Radomlje vs Celje?

Radomlje 4-2 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomlje vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Radomlje 29%, draw 27%, Celje 44%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✗ Under 2.5
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