Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-3 Lexington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.5pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.23/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.34
+31% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.5 Crosses 16.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Lexington
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.40 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Lexington Lexington 1-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
24.09.2023 Lexington Lexington 3-5 HT 1-3 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
15.06.2023 Lexington Lexington 2-0 HT 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
30.04.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 HT 0-0 Lexington Lexington USL1
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Lexington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington swept aside Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Lexington made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 1.75 for Lexington.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Lexington?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-3 Lexington in the USA - USL League 1 on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Lexington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 37%, draw 27%, Lexington 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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