Union Omaha 3-1 Central Valley Fuego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
1.61/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.65
+16% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 81%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
20.0 Crosses 16.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Central Valley Fuego
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.16 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 Passes 306
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
24.09.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-1 HT 0-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
02.07.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
09.04.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-2 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
16.10.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 0-2 HT 0-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
07.08.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
3-1
AWAY Central Valley Fuego
2.78 xG 1.93
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
381 Passes 325
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Central Valley Fuego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha beat Central Valley Fuego 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Union Omaha had 53% of the ball to Central Valley Fuego's 47%, shots finished 22-18, expected goals 2.78 to 1.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Omaha and 0.67 for Central Valley Fuego.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Central Valley Fuego?

Union Omaha 3-1 Central Valley Fuego in the USA - USL League 1 on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Central Valley Fuego?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 51%, draw 22%, Central Valley Fuego 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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