Richmond Kickers 0-1 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.46/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.81
+17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.1 Crosses 14.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.55 xG 1.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
388 Passes 314
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-1 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
16.07.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
02.04.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
19.03.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
09.07.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-1 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
12.06.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 4-0 HT 3-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
0-1
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.00 xG 1.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 444
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence nicked a narrow win over Richmond Kickers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Charlotte Independence found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 44% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 56%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.00 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Richmond Kickers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Richmond Kickers and 0.83 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence?

Richmond Kickers 0-1 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 38%, draw 24%, Charlotte Independence 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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