Olancho 2-2 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
15%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-1.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.86/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.76
-8% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
17.08.2025 Genesis PN 1-3 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
09.02.2025 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
08.11.2024 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
01.09.2024 Olancho Olancho 4-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
06.05.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
03.05.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho and Genesis PN shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Olancho at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Olancho and 0.50 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Genesis PN?

Olancho 2-2 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Olancho 61%, draw 24%, Genesis PN 14%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olancho) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
27 Oct 2025
02:15 CD Olimpia vs Real Espana Analysis →