Al Kholood 1-0 Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
29%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Najma EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
453 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Najma
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.80 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 342
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
33 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
17.10.2025 Al Kholood Al Kholood 5-1 HT 3-1 Najma SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
1-0
AWAY Najma
1.72 xG 0.97
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 2
416 Passes 460
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood squeezed past Najma 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Kholood as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Kholood had 48% of the ball to Najma's 52%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.72 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Najma?

Al Kholood 1-0 Najma in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 54%, draw 23%, Najma 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kholood), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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