Al Fateh 2-0 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒17:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
32.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.12 xG 1.36
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
430 Passes 336
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2025 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
28.11.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
02.05.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
09.11.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
2-0
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.03 xG 0.28
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
351 Passes 202
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh saw off Al Riyadh 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Fateh as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Fateh had 61% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 39%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 1.03 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Riyadh led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Fateh and 1.75 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

Al Fateh 2-0 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 44%, draw 27%, Al Riyadh 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fateh), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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