Al Fateh 1-2 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 28 Nov 2024

📅28/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.04
6+ Goals
12%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.58/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.52
+28% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
18.1 Crosses 20.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
506 Passes 371
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.05.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
09.11.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
1-2
AWAY Al Riyadh
0.79 xG 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
332 Passes 382
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh nicked a narrow win over Al Fateh 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fateh at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Fateh had 48% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 52%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.79 to 1.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Fateh and 1.50 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

Al Fateh 1-2 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 44%, draw 24%, Al Riyadh 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Fateh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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