Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 28 Nov 2024

📅28/11/2024 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 35% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.2pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.52/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.98
+29% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
22.6 Crosses 9.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Kholood
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2023 Al Kholood Al Kholood 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
27.12.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
08.02.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
28.09.2021 Al Kholood Al Kholood 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-2
AWAY Al Kholood
1.47 xG 2.01
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
367 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood edged past Al Akhdoud 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Akhdoud at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 59% of the ball to Al Kholood's 41%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.47 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Kholood led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Akhdoud and 1.75 for Al Kholood.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Kholood?

Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 44%, draw 27%, Al Kholood 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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