Al Fayha 0-1 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 28 Nov 2024

📅28/11/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.99
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.15/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.20
-19% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
13.9 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
0-1
AWAY Al Orubah
1.41 xG 0.96
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
476 Passes 176
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Orubah squeezed past Al Fayha 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fayha at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Fayha had 69% of the ball to Al Orubah's 31%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.41 to 0.96 — on chances, Al Fayha could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Orubah?

Al Fayha 0-1 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 28/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 42%, draw 28%, Al Orubah 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Fayha), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fayha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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