Al Riyadh 2-2 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.69/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.25
-41% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 82%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
18.6 Crosses 19.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
375 Passes 448
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.11.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
02.05.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
09.11.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
2-2
AWAY Al Fateh
1.61 xG 1.31
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
220 Passes 377
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh and Al Fateh shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 40% of the ball to Al Fateh's 60%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.61 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Riyadh had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Riyadh and 1.33 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh?

Al Riyadh 2-2 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 32%, draw 28%, Al Fateh 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Fateh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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