Al Kholood 0-1 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.68
No
63%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 32% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
56%
-18.4pp
63%
BTTS No
44%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 39%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.58/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.93
+35% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +123%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
13.0 Crosses 16.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
2.01 xG 1.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
232 Passes 367
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD
10.05.2023 Al Kholood Al Kholood 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
27.12.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
08.02.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
28.09.2021 Al Kholood Al Kholood 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
0-1
AWAY Al Akhdoud
0.34 xG 1.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
303 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Akhdoud edged past Al Kholood 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Kholood at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Kholood had 54% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 46%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.34 to 1.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Akhdoud's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Kholood had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Al Kholood and 0.60 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Kholood 0-1 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 43%, draw 26%, Al Akhdoud 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Kholood) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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