Al Khaleej 1-1 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.93
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 26% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.0pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 62%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.68/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.93
-65% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 84%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
19.8 Crosses 29.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.16 xG 2.29
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
241 Passes 337
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
11.03.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-1 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
15.12.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
1-1
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
0.77 xG 2.76
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 13
244 Passes 492
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 41
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej and Al-Qadsiah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al-Qadsiah at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 35% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 65%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 0.77 to 2.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Khaleej and 0.67 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Khaleej 1-1 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 24%, draw 28%, Al-Qadsiah 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✓ BTTS Yes
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