Al-Qadsiah 1-0 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒17:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 27% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +25%
1.60/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.34
-12% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +46%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.6 Crosses 15.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
250 Passes 173
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
17 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-1 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
15.12.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
1-0
AWAY Al Khaleej
2.29 xG 0.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
512 Passes 376
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
40 Box Touches 9
37 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah edged past Al Khaleej 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 58% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 42%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.29 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al-Qadsiah's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Khaleej led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 1.00 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Khaleej?

Al-Qadsiah 1-0 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 45%, draw 25%, Al Khaleej 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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