Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.29
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.45
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
73%
-9.4pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.2pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.0pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
2.35/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.07
-15% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -8%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.6 Crosses 11.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Wehda
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.72 xG 1.06
57% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
360 Passes 268
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
21.10.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
05.02.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-4 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
22.10.2020 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
14.02.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
18.01.2020 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1-0
AWAY Al Wehda
0.98 xG 0.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 Passes 292
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah edged past Al Wehda 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 54% of the ball to Al Wehda's 46%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.98 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.17 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Wehda?

Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 64%, draw 21%, Al Wehda 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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