Al Nassr 2-0 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒17:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.97
2-3 Goals
35%
2.18
4-5 Goals
31%
2.41
6+ Goals
14%
4.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-12.8pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.6pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
2.28/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.13
+17% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
453 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
23.5 Crosses 12.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Damac FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.75 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
440 Passes 300
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
21.10.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 0-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
25.02.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
10.09.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
08.01.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
13.08.2021 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-1 HT 3-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
2-0
AWAY Damac FC
2.98 xG 0.37
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
478 Passes 272
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr beat Damac FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Nassr had 61% of the ball to Damac FC's 39%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.98 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Nassr and 0.50 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Damac FC?

Al Nassr 2-0 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 63%, draw 20%, Damac FC 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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