Yeovil 1-2 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.87
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 31% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.96
1/2
9%
23.0
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
10%
8.28
X/2
11%
4.41
X/X
10%
5.2
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.47
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 55%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -23%
0.81/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.66
-36% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Barnet
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2023 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
16.08.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 1-2 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
02.04.2022 Barnet Barnet 2-2 HT 1-1 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
11.12.2021 Yeovil Yeovil 1-0 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
27.03.2021 Yeovil Yeovil 3-1 HT 3-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
02.03.2021 Barnet Barnet 1-4 HT 1-2 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
1-2
AWAY Barnet
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet squeezed past Yeovil 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Yeovil had 40% of the ball to Barnet's 60%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yeovil had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Yeovil and 1.33 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Barnet?

Yeovil 1-2 Barnet in the England - National League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 30%, draw 25%, Barnet 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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