Ebbsfleet United 0-1 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
4.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 33% vs market 20.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.33
1/2
7%
24.7
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
11%
6.55
X/2
15%
5.15
X/X
9%
5.09
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
15%
3.1
2/X
10%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.8pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.28/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.34
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
117 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 158 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Eastleigh
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
03.10.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 5-2 HT 2-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
07.12.2019 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 1-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
07.09.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
29.12.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 3-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
27.08.2018 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0-1
AWAY Eastleigh
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
0 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh squeezed past Ebbsfleet United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Eastleigh found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 34% of the ball to Eastleigh's 66%, shots finished 4-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.17 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Eastleigh?

Ebbsfleet United 0-1 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 37%, draw 26%, Eastleigh 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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