Ebbsfleet United 3-0 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Feb 2024

Ebbsfleet United
3-0 HT 0-0
Eastleigh
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Ebbsfleet United vs Eastleigh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
33%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
12%
6.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1.81
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.9
X/1
16%
3.89
X/2
9%
12.0
X/X
11%
6.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.45
2/2
16%
8.24
2/X
7%
16.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.45 — our 12% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
62%
-18.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
33%
Away Win
17%
+15.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v Eastleigh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 21%
-19% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.09/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.78
-42% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
518 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Ebbsfleet United vs Eastleigh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Eastleigh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.10.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 5-2 HT 2-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
07.12.2019 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 1-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
07.09.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
29.12.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 3-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
27.08.2018 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
17.04.2018 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL

Ebbsfleet United 3-0 Eastleigh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
3-0
AWAY Eastleigh
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United ran out comfortable winners over Eastleigh 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ebbsfleet United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 64% of the ball to Eastleigh's 36%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.17 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Eastleigh?

Ebbsfleet United 3-0 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 44%, draw 23%, Eastleigh 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
17 Feb 2024
18:00 Halifax Town vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Maidenhead United vs Oldham Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Rochdale vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
18:00 Hartlepool United vs Boreham Wood Analysis →
18:00 York City vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →
18:00 Wealdstone vs Gateshead Analysis →