Hartlepool United 3-1 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.53
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
10%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.28
X/2
14%
5.58
X/X
15%
4.59
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
18%
3.81
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.32/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.10
-8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
262 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Boreham Wood
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2023 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
05.04.2021 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 2-2 HT 2-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
05.12.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-2 HT 1-1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
29.02.2020 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-1 HT 1-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
23.11.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-2 HT 0-1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
16.02.2019 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 0-4 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
3-1
AWAY Boreham Wood
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United beat Boreham Wood 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hartlepool United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 53% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 47%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boreham Wood led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.33 for Boreham Wood.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Boreham Wood?

Hartlepool United 3-1 Boreham Wood in the England - National League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 33%, draw 29%, Boreham Wood 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boreham Wood), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
17 Feb 2024
18:00 Ebbsfleet United vs Eastleigh Analysis →
18:00 Halifax Town vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Maidenhead United vs Oldham Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Rochdale vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
18:00 York City vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →
18:00 Wealdstone vs Gateshead Analysis →