Maidenhead United 1-3 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.81
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.44
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
13%
4.73
X/2
17%
5.77
X/X
17%
3.82
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
12%
4.55
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +20%
1.22/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.97
-16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
242 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.10.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
15.04.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
08.10.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
1-3
AWAY Oldham Athletic
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic beat Maidenhead United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Oldham Athletic made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 50% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 50%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Maidenhead United and 1.00 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Oldham Athletic?

Maidenhead United 1-3 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 35%, draw 30%, Oldham Athletic 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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