Wealdstone 2-4 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
6.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.9
1/X
8%
12.15
X/1
11%
6.46
X/2
10%
5.42
X/X
7%
5.49
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
21%
3.03
2/X
8%
12.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.9 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.8pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 45%
+24% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.76/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.22
+29% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gateshead
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
28.01.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-2 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
27.08.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
2-4
AWAY Gateshead
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead saw off Wealdstone 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Gateshead made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wealdstone had 53% of the ball to Gateshead's 47%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gateshead led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wealdstone and 1.33 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Gateshead?

Wealdstone 2-4 Gateshead in the England - National League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 37%, draw 23%, Gateshead 40%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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