Bavois 0-1 Luzern II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.38
No
38%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.5pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bavois EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern II EU Bookmakers 31%
+21% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.43/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.80
+31% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bavois
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Luzern II
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
22 Total Shots 15
13 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Luzern II Luzern II 0-3 HT 0-1 Bavois İSV1Y
17.04.2024 Bavois 5-2 HT 2-2 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
14.10.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 4-3 HT 2-0 Bavois İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bavois
0-1
AWAY Luzern II
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bavois vs Luzern II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern II nicked a narrow win over Bavois 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bavois at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bavois had 52% of the ball to Luzern II's 48%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bavois had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Bavois and 2.00 for Luzern II.

What was the final score of Bavois vs Luzern II?

Bavois 0-1 Luzern II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bavois vs Luzern II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bavois win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bavois 47%, draw 24%, Luzern II 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bavois) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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