Monaco 2-3 Benfica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 27 Nov 2024

Monaco
2 - 3 HT 1 - 0
Benfica
📅27/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Monaco vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.03
Over
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.15
2-3
45%
1.87
4-5
26%
3.11
6+
8%
9.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.14
1/2
3%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.24
X/2
10%
6.45
X/X
14%
5.17
2/1
3%
24.7
2/2
17%
4.21
2/X
6%
12.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Monaco v Benfica — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Monaco The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica The Market 36%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.47 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.67
Bad Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3

Monaco vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Benfica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
272 Passes 242
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
The Meetings
04.11.2014 Benfica Benfica 1-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco ŞMP
22.10.2014 Monaco Monaco 0-0 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica ŞMP
24.07.2010 Benfica Benfica 3-2 HT 1-2 Monaco Monaco HAZ

Monaco 2-3 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
2 - 3
AWAY Benfica
1.70 xG 3.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
309 Passes 394
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Monaco vs Benfica
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Benfica nicked a narrow win over Monaco 3-2 on their travels. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We leaned Monaco at 44% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came home.

Under the surface, Benfica saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.70 to 3.03 — on chances created, Benfica won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Monaco against 1.33 for Benfica.

Monaco vs Benfica Result & Final Score

Monaco 2 - 3 Benfica in the Champions League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monaco vs Benfica Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Monaco 44%, draw 26%, Benfica 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monaco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
27 Nov 2024
20:45 Sturm Graz vs Girona Analysis →
20:45 Kızılyıldız vs Stuttgart Analysis →
23:00 PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis →
23:00 Aston Villa vs Juventus Analysis →
23:00 Bologna vs Lille Analysis →
23:00 Dinamo Zagreb vs Borussia Dortmund Analysis →