PSV Eindhoven 3-2 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 27 Nov 2024

PSV Eindhoven
3 - 2 HT 0 - 2
Shakhtar Donetsk
📅27/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
70%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
2.63
Over
69%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
14%
6.15
2-3
42%
2.1
4-5
32%
2.59
6+
12%
5.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.67
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.15
X/1
20%
3.87
X/2
6%
14.95
X/X
9%
7.89
2/1
4%
19.7
2/2
7%
10.2
2/X
4%
18.15
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

PSV Eindhoven v Shakhtar Donetsk — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME PSV Eindhoven The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk The Market 18%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.54 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
0.72 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.88
Great Attack Strength Great
Strong Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3

PSV Eindhoven 3-2 Shakhtar Donetsk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
3 - 2
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
2.77 xG 0.98
69% Ball Possession 31%
35 Total Shots 12
18 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 5
542 Passes 209
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
65 Box Touches 17
45 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSV Eindhoven came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Shakhtar Donetsk 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (58%) came home.

Under the surface, PSV Eindhoven had 69% of the ball to Shakhtar Donetsk's 31%, shots finished 35-12, expected goals 2.77 to 0.98 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PSV Eindhoven's control.

PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk Result & Final Score

PSV Eindhoven 3 - 2 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 70%, draw 16%, Shakhtar Donetsk 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
27 Nov 2024
20:45 Sturm Graz vs Girona Analysis →
20:45 Kızılyıldız vs Stuttgart Analysis →
23:00 Aston Villa vs Juventus Analysis →
23:00 Monaco vs Benfica Analysis →
23:00 Bologna vs Lille Analysis →
23:00 Dinamo Zagreb vs Borussia Dortmund Analysis →