Sturm Graz 1-0 Girona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 27 Nov 2024

Sturm Graz
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Girona
📅27/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Sturm Graz vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.83
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.11
2-3
46%
1.8
4-5
21%
3.85
6+
5%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.58
1/2
4%
25.5
1/X
5%
14.85
X/1
10%
7.25
X/2
16%
4.35
X/X
16%
4.7
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.74
2/X
5%
14.35
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Sturm Graz v Girona — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sturm Graz The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Girona The Market 51%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.06 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
1.71 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
Average Attack Strength –
Bad Defense Strength –
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
199 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16 Crosses –
4 Yellow Cards –

Sturm Graz 1-0 Girona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
1 - 0
AWAY Girona
0.84 xG 1.67
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 10
233 Passes 587
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Sturm Graz vs Girona
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sturm Graz squeezed past Girona 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Girona at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 31% of the ball to Girona's 69%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.84 to 1.67 — the balance of chances actually favoured Girona.

Sturm Graz vs Girona Result & Final Score

Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Girona in the Champions League on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sturm Graz vs Girona Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 26%, draw 26%, Girona 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Girona), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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