Al Hussein 2-3 Shabab Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.22
6+ Goals
7%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 26% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hussein EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 49%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+83% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hussein
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 27
4 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Shabab Al Ahli Shabab Al Ahli 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Hussein Al Hussein AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hussein
2-3
AWAY Shabab Al Ahli
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hussein vs Shabab Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Ahli edged past Al Hussein 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shabab Al Ahli as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Hussein had 43% of the ball to Shabab Al Ahli's 57%, shots finished 13-19.

What was the final score of Al Hussein vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Al Hussein 2-3 Shabab Al Ahli in the AFCŞL2 on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hussein vs Shabab Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabab Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Hussein 33%, draw 23%, Shabab Al Ahli 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shabab Al Ahli) ✗ Under 2.5
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