Tractor FC 3-3 Al Wakrah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 28% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tractor FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tractor FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Wakrah
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 0-3 HT 0-3 Tractor FC Tractor FC AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tractor FC
3-3
AWAY Al Wakrah
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Tractor FC vs Al Wakrah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tractor FC and Al Wakrah couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Tractor FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tractor FC had 52% of the ball to Al Wakrah's 48%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Tractor FC vs Al Wakrah?

Tractor FC 3-3 Al Wakrah in the AFCŞL2 on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tractor FC vs Al Wakrah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tractor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tractor FC 46%, draw 28%, Al Wakrah 26%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tractor FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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