Al Taawon 2-1 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
11%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 23%
-80% / -80% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +72% / +72%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-27% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +60%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Khalidiya
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Taawon Al Taawon AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
2-1
AWAY Khalidiya
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon squeezed past Khalidiya 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Taawon as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Al Taawon had 46% of the ball to Khalidiya's 54%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Khalidiya?

Al Taawon 2-1 Khalidiya in the AFCŞL2 on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 46%, draw 26%, Khalidiya 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Taawon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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