Guabira 2-1 Real Tomayapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +19%
1.67/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.29
+0% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +71%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
23.5 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Tomayapo
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.41 xG 1.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
225 Passes 243
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.07.2024 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 0-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
23.07.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
19.02.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
18.09.2021 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 1-1 HT 0-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
2-1
AWAY Real Tomayapo
2.17 xG 0.38
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
163 Passes 304
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Real Tomayapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira squeezed past Real Tomayapo 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guabira as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Guabira had 38% of the ball to Real Tomayapo's 62%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.17 to 0.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Guabira's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Real Tomayapo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Guabira and 1.25 for Real Tomayapo.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Real Tomayapo?

Guabira 2-1 Real Tomayapo in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Real Tomayapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Guabira 52%, draw 24%, Real Tomayapo 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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